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Field variation weakens statistical
significance
To explain this concept, we offer the following
example. Each soil N (nitrogen) data point that
we report for the standard dairy compost treatment
is drawn from an average of four soil N measurements,
each taken from a different field replication
group.
The statistical power (significance) of the averaged
data point we report is strongly influenced by
the numerical variation among the four measurements
from which it’s averaged: If the range of
the four N measurements is large (say 5, 10, 15,
and 20, with an average of 12.5), then the statistical
significance of the averaged N data point is very
low, because 12.5 doesn’t very well represent
the readings of 5 or 20. Conversely, if the four
N measurements are very similar (say 11, 12, 13,
and 14, still averaging 12.5), then the significance
of the averaged N data point is very high (12.5
is quite representative of 11 and 14).
Therefore, if the basic soil N level is 5 in
Replication (Rep) A and 20 in Rep B, then the
N data point averaged from measurements taken
from standard dairy compost treatment plots in
these two replications (12.5, in this case) is
not statistically representative of the two readings.
Even if the compost treatment manages to raise
soil N levels by a significant amount, such as
10 points in each plot (making readings of 15
for Rep A and 30 for Rep B), the average N data
point of 22.5 is still not statistically representative
of either 15 or 30. Thus, even a significant change
can be “hidden” by variations in the
field and a low number of replications.
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Posted
September 14, 2007: Composting is an effective, well-known
but vastly under-utilized means of managing crop and livestock
wastes and building soil fertility. Proper composting converts
crop residue and animal manure into a soil amendment that provides
slow-release, balanced crop nutrients and greatly improves soil
structure by increasing soil organic matter. The Rodale Institute
research staff is working to find better ways of producing and
using compost on-farm, so more farmers can apply compost on
more acres with better results. In April of 2006, we reported
information drawn from the first year of our Pennsylvania
Department of Environmental Protection-funded compost research
project. After composting manure alone, manure with leaves,
and manure with leaves and amendments, we found compost mixes
go a long way to reduce nitrogen, phosphorus, and pathogen
losses during the composting process, especially when the
pile is amended with a mixture of clay, calcium and humic
acid. (See the New Farm article Good
compost made better.)
Starting that month, we began field testing the compost we
had produced. Given our success in reducing nutrient losses
from the compost piles, we were excited to be able to test
these composts and aged manures along side raw manures and
fertilizer in the field. We wanted to see if our compost mixes
would support respectable corn yields and help retain soil
nutrients as well as they had in the pile.
One-year results are not so clear
After a year of corn production, the short answer concerning
the impact of these composts on soil quality and corn yield
is that we still don’t know. While we did find a few
significant differences in soil-nutrient levels and nutrient
leaching rates over the course of the year, they were not
clear enough to draw any strong conclusions. At the same time,
we found conventional fertilizer resulted in higher corn yields
than the amended dairy compost, but differences among all
the other treatments weren’t significant. We did learn
that uncovered winter storage leached nutrients from our finished
poultry composts. However, the biggest lesson we’ve
taken from our data this field season is that, in order to
get the picture of what compost does for the soil or a crop,
you’ve got to use it for at least three to five years.
The more complete story began when we tested all our composts,
aged manures and raw manures in order to determine their nutrient
content and calculate spreading rates. Sadly, the winter had
not been kind to our finished poultry compost. When we pulled
the finished poultry compost from the composting pads in October
2005, the N-P-K ratios of the treatments were 0.6-1-0.7 for
the aged manure, 1-1-0.7 for the standard poultry compost,
and 1.6-1-1 for the amended poultry compost. (The ideal N-P-K
ratio for most crop fertilizers is 2-1-2.). However, when
we went to apply the composts to the field in April, the N-P-K
ratios of the treatments were as follows:
| TREATMENT |
N |
P |
K |
| fresh poultry manure |
0.4 |
1 |
0.3 |
| aged poultry manure |
0.6 |
1 |
0.5 |
| standard poultry compost |
1 |
1 |
0.5 |
| ammended poultry compost |
1.1 |
1 |
0.5 |
| fresh dairy manure |
1.8 |
1 |
2.7 |
| aged dairy manure |
1.3 |
1 |
2.2 |
| standard dairy compost |
2.6 |
1 |
2.3 |
| amended dairy compost |
2.4 |
1 |
1.5 |
| conventional fertilizer |
2 |
1 |
2 |
| TARGET |
2 |
1 |
1 |
While the ratios of the standard and amended dairy composts
were excellent, the poultry composts had clearly lost both
N and P in piles over the winter. We had no way to measure
water leached from the pile, so we cannot say whether more
of this N was lost to volatilization or leaching, but the
P was lost through runoff and leaching, as it does not volatilize.
However, in either case, we would likely have been able to
conserve both N and P if we had covered the piles. Therefore,
we recommend that, if compost cannot be used as soon as it
is finished, it should be covered (either by roof or tarp)
to prevent these nutrient losses.
As we prepared to apply these manures and composts to the
field, we needed to estimate the availability of the N in
each treatment in order to calculate an application rate that
would supply 150 pound of N per acre for our corn crop. As
farmers know, these N availability estimates are, at best,
good guesses; once applied to the field, actual N availability
varies due to a number of factors including weather, tillage,
soil biota and soil-carbon levels, to name a few. We estimated
the raw and aged manures would make about 50 percent of their
N content available to the corn crop, while the standard composts
would release 40 percent of their N, and the amended composts
would free up 30 percent of their N, more or less. Thus, given
the varied amount of N in our composts and its varied availability,
our application rates for each treatment were as follows:
| TREATMENT |
TONS
PER ACRE |
| fresh poultry manure |
11.4 |
| aged poultry manure |
10.7 |
| standard poultry compost |
15.6 |
| ammended poultry compost |
10.7 |
| fresh dairy manure |
17.9 |
| aged dairy manure |
18.1 |
| standard dairy compost |
23.5 |
| amended dairy compost |
26.4 |
The compost was applied on May 9, 10, and 11, and it was plowed
under, along with the rye cover crop, on May 11 (Figure 1).
We laid out the research field so the nine fertilization treatments
appeared once in each of four replication groups, totaling
36 plots. After allowing time for the rye to begin decomposing,
field corn (Blue River 68F32) was planted May 23 in all 36
plots at a rate of 30,000 seeds/acre (with starter fertilizer
included for the conventionally fertilized plots).

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Prior to the compost application and corn planting, we took
soil samples from each of the 36 field plots to assess baseline
levels of C, N, P, K, pH, other macro and micro-nutrients,
and organic matter. We found there was a significant pre-treatment
difference in organic matter between the plots on which we
applied the standard dairy compost and the amended dairy compost.
But more importantly, we also found significant differences
among the four replication groups for almost every soil nutrient
and parameter we measured, indicating each section of the
field varied remarkably. This finding concerned us, statistically
speaking, because differences among replications can easily
obscure any significant differences created by our treatments.
(For details, see the “Field variations” sidebar.)
Of course, because field variation is an inherent part of
agronomic field research, this discovery did not deter us
from our soil sampling plan. We gathered subsequent soil samples
in mid-June, early December (after corn harvest), and in May
of 2007 to see if and how soil nutrient levels varied over
that time period and among the treatments.
At the same time, we collected water leached from the soil
below the root layer to measure the amounts of nutrients lost
from the field, using devices called intact-core lysimeters.
(Click
here for details.) Beginning in April 2006, water was
collected eight times through the ensuing year (ending in
May of 2007) and analyzed for nitrate, ammonium, ortho-phosphate,
electrical conductivity (EC), pH, and total dissolved solids
(TDS).
Throughout the season, we also tracked corn-plant nitrogen
levels by measuring ear-leaf chlorophyll levels with a hand-held
chlorophyll fluorescence absorbance meter (a Minolta SPAD
Meter – Specialty Products Agricultural Division) and
via season-end corn stalk nitrogen sampling. Then, finally,
at season's end, we collected harvest yield data and had the
corn grain analyzed for nutrient content.
So what did we learn from all this work? In a nutshell, we
found:
- None of the composts provided enough N at the levels we
applied them to support yields that were comparable to the
chemical fertilizer, at least not in the first season of
use.
- The composts gave yields comparable to those produced
by the aged and raw manures with the exception of the amended
dairy compost. However, these statistics are likely diluted
by the fact that the replication groups also showed significant
yield differences.
- SPAD chlorophyll readings appear to be quite accurate
at predicting corn yields, much more so than corn stalk
nitrogen sampling.
- Raw poultry manure leached more nitrate and dissolved
more solids into the soil water than any of the other treatments
(significantly more than aged poultry manure).
- There were some sharp variations in the leaching of ammonium
and phosphorus, but they were not significant and appeared
to be due to variations in the field.
- The poultry manure composts (both standard and amended)
significantly improved soil-carbon levels when compared
to the chemical fertilizer (soil carbon is a key element
of soil organic matter). In fact, the effect of these composts
was enough to eliminate the significant soil-carbon differences
among the field replication groups.
- The raw poultry manure generated the highest levels of
soil phosphorus, potassium, and CEC (significantly higher
than the chemical fertilizer in each case), but these results
are questionable due to lingering significant differences
among the replication groups.
- All of the above findings would either a) gain greater
statistical significance and relevance, or b) change in
potentially significant ways if we continued the study for
three to five field seasons.
Points 1, 2, and 3 are well illustrated in Figures 4 and
5.


As you can see, the conventional fertilizer produced the
highest yields and amended dairy compost gave the lowest.
The fresh and aged poultry manure, as well as the aged dairy
manure, also gave statistically higher yields than the amended
dairy compost, but all the other treatments were not statistically
different, though there are some clear numerical differences.
What’s more, the chlorophyll data mirror the yield data
almost exactly with greater statistical significance, since
the SPAD sampling yielded many more data points to average.
This comparison suggests that SPAD chlorophyll readings may
be a very good way to estimate yields before harvest, even
early in the growing season (our SPAD data from September
was quite similar to that which we had collected in July).
However, we hope to see this comparison borne out over several
more growing seasons before recommending SPAD readings to
farmers as means of assessing plant nitrogen needs.
Difficult determinations
We weren’t surprised by the high nitrate leaching rate
of the raw poultry manure, given the material’s high
volatile N content. Unfortunately, our other leachate data
were badly confounded by one field plot in the conventional
fertilizer treatment that leached remarkably high amounts
of ammonium, and another field plot in the amended dairy compost
treatment that leached excessive amounts of phosphorus. We
tried to remove these “outliers” and redo the
statistics, but the remaining three data points weren’t
enough to create a statistically significant average. This
is a classic example of the challenges inherent in agronomic
field research.
Finding four or more field plots of adequate, farm-scale
size that are similar in soil characteristics and topography
is a difficult (if not impossible) task in Pennsylvania, and
even similar plots may still behave differently for reasons
we don’t understand and can’t control. Weather,
disease, or pests can also wipe out an entire year’s
data. This is why multiple-year replication of field crop
experiments is vital. Many years are required to compile enough
clean (statistically significant) data points on which to
base solid recommendations.
Our most promising results are the soil-carbon increases
generated by the poultry composts. The significant carbon
increases in these two treatments, and the fact that all the
manure and compost treatments increased soil-carbon levels
when compared to the chemical fertilizer, suggest that carbon-rich
fertilizer amendments really can improve soils, even in one
year. This point is borne out by The Rodale Institute’s
10-year-long Compost Utilization Trial which showed that continuous
compost use significantly increases soil carbon levels and
also supports comparable crop yields after three to five years
of use.
Implementing nitrogen
We suspect crop-yield delays in initial years of compost
use are caused by the slow-release nature of compost-based
nitrogen. While mineral nitrogen dissolves easily in water
and thus is quickly available for crop uptake (or leaching,
if the crop isn’t growing well), compost-based nitrogen
is very stable within soil aggregates and must be released
through microbial action. Therefore, we recommend that farmers
who want to start fertilizing with compost begin by supplementing
their crops with some form of quick-release nitrogen during
the first two years of compost use, with both starter fertilizer
and side-dressing nitrogen during the growing season (Chilean
nitrogen is an approved, though expensive, option for organic
farmers). We have begun looking for ways to develop compost
“nuggets” that might be used as a starter fertilizer
or for side-dressing, but this work is new and no results
are yet available.
Our ultimate “take-home lesson” from this trial
is that any future compost research needs to last a minimum
of four years: one year for initial compost production and
then three years of continued compost production and field
application. We would also decrease our initial estimates
of N availability for the amended composts (and possibly for
the standard compost) to compensate for the slow-release nature
of the nitrogen and allow soil microbiota to “get up
to speed” in converting that nitrogen into forms available
to the crop. We might need to then revise those N-availability
estimates after several years of use, but initial heavy compost
applications will likely improve crop yields during the conversion
of chemically fertilized fields to organic management.
We are grateful to the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental
Protection for their funding and support of this project.
We look forward to partnering with them in the future to study
the ways compost and other agricultural practices can be used
to sequester carbon in the soil. 
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